Monthly Fund Focus: Market snippets, Low-volatility funds, Income funds

With markets in a volatile mood because of Trump Vs 2.0, in this month’s note on funds, we concentrate on income-producing fund ideas as well as funds that minimise market volatility by picking only those stocks with more defensive characteristics. We also outline an adventurous portfolio of high-yielding investment trusts and ponder whether UK small […]

Bi-Weekly Market Commentary | 30/4/2025 | AGFX, MERC, ELIX | Zero Zero Margins

A look at what has gone wrong at AGFX, including management’s voluntary disclosure around liquidity risk versus the reality of zero-zero margins. Other companies covered MERC and ELIX. The FTSE 100 was up +1% to 8,422 in the last 5 days. US markets rallied much more strongly, with the Nasdaq100 up +9% and the S&P500 […]

Bi-Weekly Market Commentary | 16/4/2025 | VLX, BOOM, CNC | When narratives crash

A look at why bull markets climb a “wall of worry”, but crashes are fast and brutal. Companies covered VLX, BOOM and CNC.   It’s been a wild couple of weeks! Here’s a Sharescope chart of how the major indices have performed since 2nd April. Apologies for the amount of red in the chart… The […]

Monthly Fund Focus: Cordiant Digital Infrastructure, European rearmament, Chinese equities

Ever since Trump came back into power, the dynamics of the global stock market have changed. US equities are now flirting with a bear market, while European equities continue to power ahead. Even Chinese equities are outperforming US equities, and we’ve seen the Mag7 become less magnificent as the European defence sector surges ahead. These […]

Bi-Weekly Market Commentary | 2/4/2025 | AVON, BWY, VTY, FRAN | A letter from Larry

A look at Larry Fink’s letter to BlackRock shareholders. The US asset manager has $11.6 trillion of AuM, and saw $281bn of inflows in Q4 alone. Companies covered AVON, BWY, VTY and FRAN.   The FTSE 100 was flat over the last 5 days, at 8680. US indices had a difficult week, with the Nasdaq100 […]

Small-Cap Spotlight Report: Filtronic (LSE: FTC)

Filtronic’s shares have defied AIM’s doom and gloom by rocketing 10-fold within three years. Maynard Paton reviews the multi-baggers announcements and asks whether we could have foreseen the huge gain. “London Stock Exchange boss warns AIM is under threat of collapse“ “London AIM market should be axed for failing to win tech floats, say think-tanks“ […]

Bi-Weekly Market Commentary | 19/3/2025 | JUST, SOM, SRC | Rebalancing or US recession?

Indicators in the government bond, corporate credit and commodity markets, suggest little contagion from the sell-off in US equities. Companies covered: JUST, SOM and SRC. – The FTSE 100 was up +2.5% in the last 5 days, to 8,710. Nasdaq100 is now down -5.7% YTD and the Nasdaq Composite is the worst-performing major index, down […]

Anatomy of a bubble

The trickle of annual reports in January and February has turned into a stream. It will soon be a flood. Eight companies have achieved less than three strikes. Richard takes a closer look at Dotdigital, which achieved only one strike last November. Of the 13 companies that published annual reports in the last fortnight, a […]

Monthly Fund Focus: The Trump effect, Fallen angels, China tech, US equities, new fund IPO

This month’s fund article maps out why, ironically, European equities have been the big winners after President Trump’s general election victory back in November. We also look at higher-yielding corporate fallen angel bonds that might appeal to income investors, plus the China ETFs that track the local technology sector (which is booming), and finally, why […]

Bi-Weekly Market Commentary | 5/3/2025 | QTX, IPF, WATR | Buffett’s mistake count

A look at Buffett’s rudimentary textual analysis of management discussion of mistakes and errors. Companies covered: QTX, IPF, WATR. The FTSE 100 was up +2% in the last 5 days to 8,832, helped by a blistering rally in Aerospace and Defence stocks, Rolls Royce +28% and BAE Systems +18%. Over the same time, the Nasdaq100 […]

Gilts – The investment return benchmark

Guest author Andrew Latto explains that UK gilts serve as a benchmark for investment returns, offering safety, no capital gains tax, and government backing. While their fixed returns provide certainty, they remain vulnerable to inflation and interest rate fluctuations. Gilts don’t need a UK government guarantee – gilts are the government. They are also among […]

The curious case of the company investing in its worst business

Richard digs deeper into Spirax’s annual report to discover why its numbers have deteriorated and consider whether the company can re-establish its tremendous long-term track record. 5 Strikes Only four companies have published annual reports and passed the minimum quality filter since my last article. Only one of them achieved less than 3 Strikes, and […]

Screening For My Next Long-Term Winner: BIG Technologies (LSE: BIG)

Sifting through the IPO carnage of recent years leads to high-margin, cash-rich BIG Technologies. Maynard Paton reviews the tagging specialist’s positive progress, entrepreneurial boss, generous options and current valuation. “It’s Probably Overpriced“ IPOs have suffered badly during the last few years. Buoyant markets encouraged lots of companies to go public at optimistic valuations… …only for […]

Bi-Weekly Market Commentary | 19/2/2025 | PRV, PZC, BATS | Big Ideas

A look at some of Cathie Wood’s “Big Ideas” and ARKK ETF portfolio. Companies covered PRV, PZC and BATS. The FTSE 100 ended the week around 8,735, up +0.4%. The Nasdaq100 and S&P500 were up +1.2% and +0.5%, respectively. The best-performing index YTD has been the FTSE China 50, +15% followed by the German DAX […]

Monthly Fund Focus: Small cap investing, The Saba saga, Investment Trust ideas

Investing in small and micro-cap stocks can be a risky exercise at the best of times, which is probably why funds and especially actively managed investment trusts have proved so popular. But there’s been a weight of academic research into small-cap investing, and it’s increasingly suggesting that small caps, especially in the UK, might not […]

Bi-Weekly Market Commentary | 5/2/2025 | RNWH, BBSN, FEVR | Slow Intelligence

A look at Rory Sutherland’s idea of “slow intelligence”, and if it makes sense to make processes less efficient. Companies covered: RNWH, BBSN, FEVR.   We’ve seen significant volatility over the last couple of weeks, first with Nvidia’s reaction to DeepSeek’s AI model then Donald Trump’s tariff announcements. After all that, the FTSE 100 ended […]

Bi-Weekly Market Commentary | 22/1/2025 | ONT, FDEV, IKA | The second derivative

A look at a couple of stocks that are off 80-90% from their highs, but which may have formed a bottom with a +20% bounce last week. ONT and FDEV, plus taking a look at IKA. The FTSE 100 bounced +3.6% last week to 8,524. That’s ahead of the Nasdaq100 up +2.8% and the S&P500 […]

Profitable companies in challenging industries

Cerillion has a perfect track record selling software to a challenging sector. Goldplat knows how to profit consistently from miners in troubled economies. Renew has figured out how to make big returns from labour intensive infrastructure repair and maintenance. All pass the 5 Strikes test. Unsurprisingly companies haven’t been busy churning out annual reports over […]

Bi-Weekly Market Commentary | 7/1/2025 | AVAP, AT, WISE, FCH | UK optimism for 2025?

A review of investing ideas for 2025, including AVAP and AT. plus financials WISE and FCH.  Also covered TMG’s disposal of its US operations.   The FTSE 100 didn’t see much of a “Santa Rally”, down -1% since the start of December. Nasdaq100 and S&P500 were up +1.9% and down -1.5%, despite enjoying a very […]

Monthly Fund Focus: Active ETFs, Investment Trusts, Japan indices and funds, AI Fund

Active exchange-traded funds (ETFs) are all the rage at the moment in funds land and may overtake investment trusts in the not-too-distant future. Crucially big, well-known names in fund management are lining up behind the idea. We dig a bit deeper. Plus, a deep dive into the world of Japanese benchmarks and funds. Active ETFs […]

Screening For My Next Long-Term Winner: Tatton Asset Management (LSE: TAM)

Screening for shares with a consistently high margin and ROE leads to model portfolio specialist Tatton Asset Management. Maynard Paton reviews the small-cap’s impressive financials, efficient workforce, owner-aligned founder and bold growth target. Today I have revisited a ShareScope screen that applies two ratios favoured by ‘quality’ investors — operating margin and return on equity […]

The Naked Trader: 6 things I’ve learned from Private Investors in the last 5 years

I’ve just launched a new edition of my book “Naked Trader” – edition 6. It’s been five years since the last edition and I thought I would answer a question many have asked: “What have you learned over the last 5 years from talking to investors?”. Here are 6 things I’ve learned. 1. I learned […]

Bi-Weekly Market Commentary | 10/12/2024 | BAR, EAH, VNET | The Capex Surge

A look at the capex boom from Artificial Intelligence and data centres, and who the winner(s) might be. Companies covered: W7L’s bid for BAR, EAH and VNET.   The FTSE 100 was flat last week at 8,328. The Nasdaq100 was much stronger +3.3%, while the S&P was up around +1% over the last 5 trading days. […]

Probably the most profitable manufacturer in the UK

Gram for gram Bioventix must be one of the most profitable manufacturers in the UK. Richard also looks at Dotdigital. It too has an unblemished financial history. Since my last update in mid-November, six companies have passed my minimum quality filter, and four of them have achieved less than three strikes. These companies have achieved […]

Monthly Fund Focus: Global Equity Indices, ETF for all seasons, Scottish Mortgage

Global stock market indices are widely used benchmarks and also form the core of a huge and growing range of exchange-traded funds. But what are the differences between these various indices? Taking that idea of global equities in one fund, Wisdom Tree has just issued what I think is a cracking one-fund solution, an ETF […]

Bi-Weekly Market Commentary | 26/11/2024 | NESF, TAM, TRU, MTEC | Natural Gas on the rise again

A look at whether rising Natural Gas prices might threaten the market rally, and whether renewables might help offset the pain. Companies mentioned NESF, TAM, TRU and MTEC. The FTSE 100 was up +2.3% last week to 8,294, helped by a weak pound. The pound has fallen -6% from 1.34 against the dollar to 1.26 […]

The Trader: Jaguar’s Rebrand and Games Workshop

You’ve probably seen Jaguar’s new rebrand, which looks similar to a cosmetic or a fashion ad, without any mention of cars, and some vague slogans which mean little to anyone. Marketers worldwide have crowed about how “Jaguar has destroyed its brand” and that this is financial suicide. Maybe. But they missed the point. Jaguar barely […]

Bi-Weekly Market Commentary | 12/11/2024 | ZTF, TCAP, SFOR, AQX | Public stockmarkets and Private Equity

A look at how different asset classes have responded to the US election result, and whether there might be some inconsistent thinking therein.  Companies covered: ZTF, TCAP and SFOR, plus a brief look at the AQX bid approach.   The FTSE 100 was down around -0.5% last week to 8,125. In the US, the Nasdaq100 […]

Screening For My Next Long-Term Winner: Wynnstay | WYN

Wynnstay has paid an increased dividend every year since 2004 yet its shares trade nearly 40% below net tangible assets. Maynard Paton weighs up whether the agricultural supplier is a value bargain or a value trap. I am back again looking for ‘value bargains’ and revisiting a screen that identifies companies trading at less than […]

Volution|FAN: Making money from clean air

Richard presents the latest companies to make it through his 5 Strikes process. Volution, a manufacturer of extractor fans and more sophisticated ventilation systems achieved only one strike, making it a prime candidate for research. Since my last update, five companies have published annual reports and passed my minimum quality filter. Having briefly scrutinised their […]

Monthly Fund Focus: Trusts Sector, CLO Funds, Charteris Funds, Equal Weight ETFs

In this month’s Funds Focus, David Stevenson looks at a recent report on the consolidation of investment trusts which has some quite revealing headline numbers. Plus he casts his eye over CLO & Charteris Funds and Equal Weight ETFs. We also ask whether it’s time to switch out of Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) that track […]

Are Crest Nicholson shares way too cheap or a big value trap?

After rival house builder Bellway decided not to buy Crest Nicholson, Phil asks whether the shares have been treated too harshly by the market or if investors should stay clear of them. Source: Crest Nicholson It’s been a rough few years for house-building companies. COVID-19 badly disrupted their businesses while government subsidies and low borrowing […]

Bi-Weekly Market Commentary | 29/10/2024 | GBG, CER, PCIP | Moving the long end of the curve

A look at the movements at the long end of the government bond yield curve, and the implications for equity investors. Companies covered GBG, CER and PCIP. The FTSE 100 was down -1% last week to 8,223. The Nasdaq100 was flat, while the S&P500 was down -1%. The price of palladium was up +9% last […]

“M” is for marmite, and market leader

Investing in UK market-leading companies is a marmite proposition. They must have done something good but, if they are already so big, how can they keep taking market share? Richard examines market leaders Dunelm, and Inchcape (again!) In this week’s update, only two companies published annual reports, passed my minimum quality filter and the 5 […]

Is it worth investing in quality factor ETFs?

Phil takes a look at the subject of factor investing and whether quality factor exchange-traded funds (ETFs) can deliver better returns than those that track the stock market. Factor investing 101 To some extent, most investing is based around factors. Factors are used to deliver sources of return from portfolios and to explain the performance […]

Bi-Weekly Market Commentary | 15/10/2024 | CAV, WYN, TET | Small cap AXX divergence

A look at what might be causing the divergence in performance between the FTSE Small Cap (SMX) index -8%, which has outperformed FTSE AIM (AXX) -44% since Sept 2021. Companies covered CAV, WYN and TET. The FTSE 100 was down -0.75% to 8,244 last week. The Nasdaq100 and S&P500 were both up just over +1%. […]

Small-Cap Spotlight Report: Software Circle

Canadian 200-bagger Constellation Software has inspired Software Circle to become a serial acquirer of ‘vertical market’ software businesses. Maynard Paton studies the promising early progress of AIM-traded emulator. Mark Leonard has been described as the “best capital allocator you have never heard of“. According to Forbes, Mr Leonard is now worth $5 billion after he […]

Monthly Fund Focus: Gold, Fair Oaks, Compounding ETF

In this month’s funds overview, we revisit the exciting world of gold and especially gold trackers which provide a regular income via options writing strategies. We also look at a very adventurous way of generating a big regular income, all through a well-established and successful investment trust. We also quickly glance at a new exchange-traded […]

Bi-Weekly Market Commentary | 1/10/2024 | IPO, OMG, ABDP | Stimulus from the East, M4 from the West

A look at stimulus coming from the People’s Bank of China and deficit spending by Western governments, both of which seem expansionary. Companies covered:  IPO, OMG and ABDP.  The FTSE 100 was flat last week, bouncing around 8,270. In the USA, the Nasdaq100 and S&P500 were both up less than +1%. China on the other […]

Focus, focus, focus

There is very little 5 Strikes action, so Richard takes the opportunity to slide Inchcape onto the front burner. Over the last eight years, the company has sharpened its focus on motor vehicle distribution. Deciding what to focus on is the basis of good strategy. Since my last article only two shares have published annual […]

Should you consider buying the shares that professional investors hate?

Many investors like to buy shares that are popular or those of companies that are doing well. Phil takes a look at why sometimes buying shares that professional investors are betting against can generate big gains. Finding unpopular shares Most investors make money by buying shares that eventually go up in price. However, it is […]

Screening For My Next Long-Term Winner: Castings PLC (LSE: CGS)

A liking for ‘value bargains’ prompts Maynard Paton to search again for asset-rich shares with depressed ratings. Screening for low price to books and net cash positions leads to engineer Castings. I always love a traditional ‘value bargain’. Hence this revisit to an old screen that pinpoints companies trading at less than book value. Importantly, […]

Bi-Weekly Market Commentary | 17/09/2024 |WOSG, HVO, FEVR| Dr Copper calls it once again

Bruce looks at the reversal in the copper price, and what this might signal about global growth and interest rate expectations.  Companies covered WOSG, HVO and FEVR. The FTSE 100 rose +1% to 8,273. US markets were much stronger, with the Nasdaq100 up +6.% and the S&P500 up +4%. That seems to be driven by […]

Is the Permanent Portfolio still a sensible investment strategy?

The conventional wisdom that stocks deliver the best returns for investors is generally true, but only if you can ignore the wild ups and downs that come with them and stay invested. Phil looks at whether a popular and lower-risk approach to investing is worth considering at the moment. Shares deliver the best returns if […]

Bi-Weekly Market Commentary | 3/09/2024 | CLX, AQX, ESYS | A look at UK fund flows

A look at UK retail fund flow data, from the Investment Association, which represents UK Fund Management Firms. Companies covered CLX, AQX and ESYS. The FTSE 100 was up +0.5% to 8,369 last week. The Nasdaq100 was down -0.7% and the S&P500 was flat. Both of these US indices are up +25% YTD, whereas AIM […]

Monthly Fund Focus: Gold, Nutshell growth, Biotech opportunities

Gold prices are moving steadily higher, yet most investors shun the shiny precious stuff. This month’s funds article looks at gold as an asset class, why professionals dislike it, and why UK investors have done well out of the precious metal. It also examines an innovative new way to invest in gold AND generate an […]

Finding fault

Richard examines fault after fault in businesses until he can find no more. If the faults should not cause permanent damage, the share is an investment candidate. Currently, Kainos is in the spotlight and Iomart and IG enter the pipeline. I am compiling a list of all the companies with a few flaws in their […]

On Durability

This week, Jamie Ward rewatched an old interview with an investor whose style might be considered rogue in today’s professional investment landscape. He believes that the lessons espoused could be useful for private investors who consider whatever wealth they have accumulated to be precious and irreplaceable. He then suggests a few businesses that might form […]

Bi-Weekly Market Commentary | 20/08/2024 | BUR, CGEO, GHH | Headed for the ‘Cisco Bay?

A look at Nvidia, which is forecast to grow sales by 11x since 2020, compared to Cisco Systems valuation in the previous technology bubble. Companies covered BUR, CGEO and GHH. The FTSE 100 rose +1% to 8,294 last week. The Nasdaq 100 has recovered strongly from its wobble earlier in August, and was up +5.4% […]

Small-Cap Spotlight Report: Lindsell Train Investment Trust

The market has become very unhappy with buy-and-hold investor Nick Train. Maynard Paton studies Lindsell Train Investment Trust and reckons Mr Train’s fund-management business could now be valued on a P/E of less than 2. Could now be the time to back Nick Train? The buy-and-hold fund manager was for years feted for selecting blue-chip […]

Summer sizzlers

The latest haul of investment candidates from Richard includes a software company, a timber importer, a one-of-a-kind fantasy gaming and modelling company Games Workshop, a housebuilder and a business so small you may never have heard of it. Just to recap and contextualise, 5 Strikes is a quick way of deciding which shares are the […]

Bi-Weekly Market Commentary | 06/08/2024 | DATA, LTG, CRPR | Hitting some turbulence

A difficult start to August seems to be driven by the Japanese carry-trade unwinding. Companies covered: DATA, LTG, CRPR. Markets sold off heavily on Monday. The FTSE 100 fell -3.6% in the last 5 days to 7,974. Meanwhile, the futures market suggested that US markets would start the week badly. The FT contained an article […]

LULU is no lemon!

Richard’s 5 Strikes system puts three very different businesses in the frame: Athleisure brand Lululemon, Gamma Communications – an IT company that supplies communications systems, and MS International, which manufactures naval cannon. Bingo! Well, almost Bingo. In my last article, I promised to order the results of my 5 Strikes system by number of strikes […]

Monthly Fund Focus: Bull market alert, Hedging risk, Biotech Opportunities and UK Smaller caps

With markets, the US ones in particular, in a bullish mood over the summer months, and volatility still well below long-term averages (even after the recent tech sell-off), our monthly look at funds continues its search for ideas that could hedge downside risk, focusing this time on managed futures funds. On a more optimistic note, […]

Screening For My Next Long-Term Winner: RWS

RWS has lifted its dividend for 19 consecutive years yet the shares currently offer a 6.5% yield. Maynard Paton studies the translation group’s acquisition history, profit adjustments and management changes. An illustrious dividend history and a worthwhile yield have brought RWS to my attention. The language-translation group presently offers: An unbroken record of dividend increases […]

Bi-Weekly Market Commentary | 23/07/2024 | TRST, RNO, CRL | Ghost in the Machine

Some background reading on cybersecurity and hacking, topical in the wake of Crowdstrike-related chaos from last week. Companies covered TRST, RNO and CRL. The FTSE 100 rose +0.5% to 8,216 last week. Nasdaq100 and S&P500 were down -4% and -2% respectively. For contrast, the Russell 2000 small cap index jumped +7%, encouraged by helpful inflation […]

Bi-Weekly Market Commentary | 09/07/2024 | MOON, DUKE, EQLS| Reasons to be cheerful

After a difficult 3 years for London-listed smaller companies, Bruce looks at a couple of reasons to feel positive about the future. Companies covered: MOON, DUKE, EQLS. The FTSE 100 was up less than +0.5% last week to 8,194. The Nasdaq100 and S&P500 were up +3% and 1.6% respectively. China remains in the doldrums with […]

Elephants can gallop

The latest haul of 5 strikes shares includes Halma and RS, proof perhaps that big companies can gallop, or at least trot. Richard also doffs his cap to Bloomsbury Publishing and works out how profitable Next 15 really is. We’re in a low period for annual report publishing as the large number of companies that […]

Monthly Fund Focus: Leftfield ideas for a strange market, Defence funds

With global stock markets in bullish form and the all-important US benchmark, the S&P 500, threatening to crash past the psychologically important 5500 level, our monthly fund’s report spins through some left-field ideas for bears and bulls from the world of ETFs and investment trusts. We look at everything from strategies that benefit from sudden […]

Bi-Weekly Market Commentary | 25/06/2024 | WISE, YOU, IGP | Approvals rising

A look at mortgage approvals data trends, and how the Election may impact the UK housing market. Companies covered WISE, YOU and IGP. The FTSE 100 rose +1.7% last week to 8,274. The Nasdaq100 and the S&P500 were both up +0.6%. The US 10Y Govt bond yield fell back to 4.25% and yield curves remain […]

PETS hits a home run

The standout share from Richard’s latest 5 Strikes haul is Pets at Home, a dominant pet care business in the UK with a strong financial track record. Fifteen companies have passed the Minimum Quality Filter since my last update, but the finances of only three score less than three strikes, according to the 5 strikes […]

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